Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 0.116619 0.129928 0.143715 0.159032 0.175539 0.192761 0.212053
2024-10-06 0.098526 0.118545 0.140439 0.166018 0.194934 0.226462 0.263289
2024-10-13 0.083790 0.108061 0.135914 0.169892 0.209860 0.255023 0.309540
2024-10-20 0.072186 0.099198 0.131567 0.172573 0.222468 0.280545 0.352560
2024-10-27 0.063006 0.091829 0.127760 0.174833 0.233820 0.304240 0.393543
2024-11-03 0.060108 0.091851 0.132680 0.187581 0.257937 0.343539 0.453913
2024-11-10 0.053070 0.085474 0.128608 0.188258 0.266534 0.363673 0.491085
2024-11-17 0.047974 0.081118 0.126644 0.191202 0.277706 0.386916 0.532284
2024-11-24 0.042907 0.076201 0.123382 0.191949 0.285693 0.405993 0.568355
2024-12-01 0.041533 0.076564 0.127384 0.202591 0.306934 0.442425 0.627110
2024-12-08 0.040189 0.076783 0.131065 0.212773 0.327688 0.478536 0.686021
2024-12-15 0.036526 0.072938 0.128442 0.213722 0.335623 0.497705 0.723026
2024-12-22 0.032033 0.067489 0.123329 0.211220 0.339244 0.511997 0.755076
2024-12-29 0.030807 0.067466 0.126557 0.221155 0.360760 0.551057 0.821042
2025-01-05 0.028664 0.065614 0.126763 0.226523 0.375889 0.581760 0.876480
2025-01-12 0.026363 0.063211 0.125873 0.230092 0.388421 0.609079 0.927798
2025-01-19 0.024170 0.060744 0.124658 0.233001 0.399948 0.635128 0.977749
2025-01-26 0.024434 0.063039 0.131524 0.248824 0.430969 0.689042 1.066744
2025-02-02 0.022162 0.060036 0.129112 0.249681 0.439518 0.711286 1.112308
2025-02-09 0.020542 0.058161 0.128495 0.253325 0.452265 0.739634 1.166682
2025-02-16 0.018679 0.055534 0.126329 0.254252 0.460772 0.761936 1.212827
2025-02-23 0.018629 0.056871 0.131404 0.267369 0.488369 0.812255 1.299048
2025-03-02 0.018490 0.057979 0.136071 0.279886 0.515227 0.861825 1.384748